Ukraine’s 2025 Wind Market Outlook

Ukraine’s wind energy sector is regaining momentum despite the challenges of war. With over 800 MW of new projects announced for 2025, the country is reaffirming its commitment to renewables as part of its green recovery and energy resilience strategy. 

Before 2022, Ukraine had over 2 GW of installed wind capacity, contributing over 20% of its renewable mix. While much of this infrastructure remains in occupied territories, around 230 MW of new capacity has been built during the full-scale invasion, and 7 GW more is in the project pipeline.  

According to the National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP) and the National Energy and Climate Plan for 2030, Ukraine aims to reach 6.1 GW of onshore and 0.1 GW of offshore wind capacity by the end of the decade. This requires roughly $20 billion in investment. Annual renewable auctions are expected to allocate 250 MW of new capacity, with a maximum bid price of €0.08 per kWh. 

Recent regulatory reforms signal progress, including the January 2025 grid connection law, which introduced transparent capacity booking for projects above 20 MW and new municipal incentives for renewable deployment. 

Ukraine continues to attract strong international and European support. Around €2.7 billion from the EU’s Ukraine Facility is channelled through the EBRD, IFC, and KfW to de-risk green investments. Partnerships with Germany, Norway, Denmark, and the Netherlands are driving new large-scale projects by Notus Energy, Elementum Energy, Vestas, Atlas Global Energy, Galnaftogaz, and Emergy AS, with over 1 GW planned and €1 billion in investments. 

As Ukraine rebuilds its energy infrastructure, wind power stands at the forefront of its transformation – bolstering decentralisation, enhancing energy security, and driving integration with the European market. 

🔗 Read the full analysis: Ukraine’s Wind Energy Market Analysis (PDF)